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Chapter 3 takes a stab at fleshing out the concept some more. I'd say there are two main options: *conceptualism* treats metaphysical possibility as simply conceptual possibility in the subjunctive mood (given certain facts about what's actual). That should make more sense after Chapter 1's explanation of 2-D semantics.

Alternatively, I try (in chp 3) to flesh out a more thoroughgoing *realism* about metaphysical possibility, linked to notions like objective chance and the open future, traced back through every past moment, to get a sense in which we might (if indeterminism is true) think the future *really could* have turned out differently if time were rewound and started anew. And then we can try applying that very concept to the initial starting conditions and laws of nature...

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That sounds really interesting. I'm glad you take seriously the issue of how to precisely define metaphysical possibility. Some philosophers don't. Is the entire thesis available?

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Yes, I'll be posting the chapters individually over the next week or two.

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